It is very important to point out that the current healthcare “reform” bills will only seriously exacerbate the two major cost drivers: abuse of insurance, and Soviet-style price controls with central bureaucratic management. If you are interested in reality-based alternative proposals, please see the Jones Plan at http://www.jonesplan.blogspot.com/. It’s about restoring fundamental American principles of freedom, accountability, efficiency, innovation, compassion and competition to our healthcare system.
Sunday, November 22, 2009
Response to the Institute of Medicine November 9, 2009 Rosenthal Lecture, by the Hon. David M. Walker
Response to the Institute of Medicine November 9, 2009 Rosenthal Lecture, by the Hon. David M. Walker
I would like to compliment Mr. Walker on his beautifully concise and insightful overview of the healthcare problem and his mostly realistic appraisal of what needs to be done. But having witnessed the rotting of our healthcare system from an inside perspective, I must disagree on a few key points.
Why do we “spend $2.5 trillion a year on health care, twice as much per capita than any other industrialized nation, and with no better — and often worse — results”? As a primary care physician since 1980, during the period when Medicare and Medicaid took over more than 50% of US healthcare expenses, I can tell you exactly why:
I and my clinic staff waste about half of our time and other resources coping with the suffocating bureaucratic red tape imposed on our healthcare system by government and insurance companies. Virtually everything I do as a physician is now subject to being second-guessed, micromanaged, or rejected as “not medically necessary” by bureaucrats in the employ of Medicare, Medicaid, other insurance companies and “benefits managers.”
I recently sat through a typical 90-minute hospital staff meeting. As usual, the great majority of discussion focused NOT on healthcare quality, patient satisfaction, or efficiency. Rather, of bitter fiscal necessity, such meetings are ALWAYS primarily about how to cope with the multitudinous and often counter-productive regulations and requirements of Medicare and Medicaid, so the hospital can get paid for services rendered. That, my friends, is why your healthcare costs twice what it should. That, combined with systematic and government-encouraged abuse of the fundamental concept of insurance (as correctly noted by Mr. Walker).
How true that, “Candidly, our current health care system is like a condemned house built on a sinkhole of sand and mortgaged for more than it is worth. Who in their right mind would build a new wing onto a collapsing structure that is headed for foreclosure?” Not only does the current healthcare reform bill build on a sinking, over-mortgaged edifice, but it certainly is NOT "reform." It is, in fact, about 2700 pages more of the same "dictate, monitor, scold and spank the doctors and hospitals" approach to healthcare "improvement" that Medicare and Medicaid have been dishing out for several decades, with spectacularly disastrous results.
Regarding financing of the current bills, Mr. Walker says, “Recently, we asked the Lewin Group to analyze the Senate Finance Committee's health care reform bill and the results are now in. The bill passed the first two fiscal responsibility tests… First, the reform should pay for itself over ten years. Second, it should not add to deficits beyond ten years.” WRONG! The Congressional Budget Office's cost estimate of approximately one trillion dollars DOES NOT include industry’s costs of implementation!
The CBO's estimates ignore the fact that 2700 pages of legislation, if passed, will be ballooned by the various bureaucracies responsible for implementation into many hundreds of thousands of pages of regulations and requirements to further complicate and constipate the work of everyone involved in healthcare.
Even if all these new regulations only increase the cost of healthcare by 10%, that will add another 2.2 trillion dollars over the next 10 years, tripling the CBO's cost estimate. As I pointed out above our healthcare costs are already twice what they should be primarily due to all the bureaucratic requirements already imposed on the industry. The additional requirements imposed by the current bills are almost certain to cause healthcare inflation to go from twice to three times the overall rate of inflation.
Mr. Walker makes another major, and unfortunately widely promulgated error when he says “we won't be able to stay within any sort of overall federal budget for health care, until we move away from our current fee-for-service payment system. This, more than anything, is the reason we can't control costs.” Fee-for-service is not a major cost driver.
Fee-for-service is, in fact, a pillar of our economic system. It is the standard in virtually all industries: legal services, accounting, home appliance repair, plumbing, automotive repair -- you name it. And none of those industries has a problem with costs growing at twice the rate of inflation. No, the reason for the rampant growth is healthcare costs is a combination of (1) abuse of insurance, combined with (2) the Soviet-style price controls and bureaucratic micromanagement of healthcare increasingly imposed by Medicare and Medicaid, aped by the private insurance industry.
Furthermore, to force any kind of payment system on healthcare providers makes no more sense that forcing an arbitrary payment system on accountants, priests, plumbers or auto mechanics. As a physician who grew up in this allegedly “free country,” I can tell you that I and a growing number of my fellow physicians are increasingly fed up with the misguided and spectacularly failing outside micromanagement of our profession. ENOUGH ALREADY.
Elaborating on this mistaken line of reasoning, Mr. Walker says, “By basing payments on the volume of procedures — diagnostics, tests and so on… our fee-for-service system incentivizes providers and patients in all the wrong ways. The more procedures, the more revenue that goes to doctors and hospitals…” Just let me point out that exactly the same dynamics apply to the legal, accounting, home repair, auto repair -- you name it -- industries. Yet those industries aren’t plagued with double-inflation, and no one is proposing they be “Sovietized.”
The second part of Mr. Walker’s equation is, however, right on the money: “Patients, meanwhile, have few qualms about getting more care since their insurance provides the illusion someone else is paying for it all.” The true source of the rampant cost escalation is exactly that, combined with the fact that everyone involved in the healthcare industry is squandering enormous resources to accommodate the suffocating bureaucratic requirements already imposed by the federal government.
It is very important to point out that the current healthcare “reform” bills will only seriously exacerbate the two major cost drivers: abuse of insurance, and Soviet-style price controls with central bureaucratic management. If you are interested in reality-based alternative proposals, please see the Jones Plan at http://www.jonesplan.blogspot.com/. It’s about restoring fundamental American principles of freedom, accountability, efficiency, innovation, compassion and competition to our healthcare system.
It is very important to point out that the current healthcare “reform” bills will only seriously exacerbate the two major cost drivers: abuse of insurance, and Soviet-style price controls with central bureaucratic management. If you are interested in reality-based alternative proposals, please see the Jones Plan at http://www.jonesplan.blogspot.com/. It’s about restoring fundamental American principles of freedom, accountability, efficiency, innovation, compassion and competition to our healthcare system.
Yours for Better Healthcare,
Daniel Jones, MD
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Response to ‘Why "free market competition" fails in health care’
Response to 'Why "free market competition" fails in health care,' By Joe Flower
In this 11/3/09 Op-Ed piece Joe makes a superficially appealing argument that free-market competition can’t work in health care. My response is:
Nice try, Joe, but you should think a little deeper. The free market might work in healthcare. That hasn’t been tried in recent times, thanks to our federal government.
#1. You say, “True medical demand is wildly variable, random, and absolute.” That’s only partially true, and only for catastrophic health problems, which comprise only a minority of healthcare needs -- things such as heart attacks or strokes and acute surgical emergencies, such as appendicitis. Those are the things people should buy insurance for; or use the public “safety net” if they can’t afford insurance. Most things, such as routine primary care, high blood pressure, obesity, diabetes, chronic arthritis, etc., are NOT wildly variable, random, or absolute.
Furthermore, most things that are “absolute” are not “wildly variable” or “random.” For example, if you don’t smoke, eat a low-calorie vegetarian diet, and exercise regularly, you are far less likely to have a heart attack or stroke than someone who chooses an unhealthy lifestyle. People who drive drunk go to jail. What do you suggest for people who eat and smoke themselves into a heart attack?
#2. You say, “All demand apes this absolute demand… the doctor, operating both as seller and effectively as agent for the buyer, is often rewarded for selling more…” This is somewhat true in medicine, just as it is somewhat true when you consult with an attorney or accountant, take your car to a mechanic, or call an appliance repairman to fix your washing machine. And it’s no more a reason for the government to take over healthcare, than for the government to take over the legal or accounting professions, or the automotive or appliance repair industries. Is it?
#3. You say, “The benefit of medical capacity accrues even to those who do not use it… Having police benefits you even if you never are the victim of a crime… Every part of health care, from ambulances and emergency room capacity to public health education to mass vaccinations to cutting-edge medical research, benefits the society as a whole, even those who do not use that particular piece…” Certainly parts of healthcare (you gave some good examples) are best provided as a part of “public infrastructure,” just like the public highway system. But you seriously over-generalize: most of healthcare is not a public infrastructure issue. The fact that government should manage the highways in no way implies government should buy people cars, pay for their repairs, and provide public gasoline. In the same vein, government has no business treating Bob’s high blood pressure or paying for his medication. In a free country, many of us think Bob should take care of those things himself, if he has the capacity to do so.
Dan Jones, MD
Sunday, November 1, 2009
Healthcare Reform - Bad Medicine for a Sick System
Healthcare Reform - Bad Medicine for a Sick System
Dear Family, Friends, Colleagues, Patients and Neighbors,
Do you wonder why we spend nearly twice as much on healthcare as other countries, with no better outcomes? As a primary care doctor, I know why: it’s mostly because I waste about half my time coping with the suffocating bureaucratic red tape imposed on our healthcare system by government and insurance companies.
No one would like to see effective healthcare reform more than me. Unfortunately, as explained below, the proposals currently coming from Congress will do nothing to improve quality, and will certainly drive healthcare costs into the stratosphere. As evidence for this claim, please consider the following common-sense truisms, and how they apply to healthcare:
1. The top priority should be health, not “coverage,” “insurance,” or even “healthcare.”
2. Too many cooks spoil the broth.
3. The purpose of insurance is to protect against catastrophes.
4. Soviet-style price controls and central planning do not work, and are not compatible with our free-market economy.
Let me expand on these issues briefly:
1. Priorities: The top priority - for patients, doctors and Congress - should be health, NOT “coverage,” “insurance,” or even “healthcare.” “Healthcare,” as packaged and sold by doctors, hospitals, physical therapists, dentists, etc., is and always will be expensive. “Health,” on the other hand, is far more dependent on individuals’ personal health habits and the genes they are born with, than on anything doctors or government can do. Alas, the current proposals are focused almost exclusively on “insurance” and virtually ignore the fact that a lot more could be done to improve Americans’ health with a lot less money in other ways.
2. To many cooks spoil the broth: Virtually everything I do as a physician is now subject to being second-guessed, micromanaged, or rejected as “not medically necessary” by bureaucrats in the employ of Medicare, Medicaid, other insurance companies and “benefits managers.” The purpose of this is to “save money” by forcing doctors to do fewer or cheaper tests and to give fewer or cheaper treatments. The true effect is to drive up costs because:
a) The naysayers are non-physicians, mindlessly following simplistic cook-book rules that are inevitably out-of-date, out of touch, and totally incapable of effectively critiquing physician actions in the real world.
b) Doctors end up wasting much of their time finding ways to work around the rules so as to accomplish what needs to be done. This is not only wasteful of doctors time and energy, but very frustrating and fatiguing and often downright infuriating.
The long-term effect of these practices will be even more devastating: few smart young people will choose medicine as a career; and many physicians are already looking for alternatives.
3. Insurance is for catastrophes: Check any dictionary: the purpose of insurance is to protect against catastrophic losses. Using insurance to pay for modest and/or ongoing expenses (e.g., doctor visits, medications, groceries, gasoline, rent, routine auto repairs, etc.) is fundamentally inefficient because (a) it introduces a third profit-seeking, resource-using entity into every transaction; and (b) it removes responsibility for payment from the consumer, thereby removing the consumer’s incentive to economize. Yet all proposals coming out of Congress are focused on providing “comprehensive insurance coverage” for “every American” -- a sure-fire recipe for inefficiency and escalating costs.
4. Soviet-style price controls and central planning do not work, and are not compatible with our free-market economy: In the 1990’s the Soviet Union, after forcing its citizens for 70 years to spend much of their time in long lines to obtain scarce and shoddy goods and services, finally admitted the failure of central economic planning. Communist China is now doing the same thing by degrees. But for some mysterious reason, some people in Washington seem to think they can make our healthcare industry more efficient by subjecting it to Soviet-style price controls and central planning.
Medicare and Medicaid (aped by the private insurance industry) have been doing exactly that, progressively, over the past several decades, with the result that healthcare costs have consistently increased at about twice the rate of inflation. Just as mysteriously, the proposals currently coming out of Congress are, for the most part, just more aggressive and detailed application of price controls and central planning, not only to hospitals and physicians, but now also to the insurance industry!
Furthermore, Congress is grossly underestimating and misrepresenting the cost of this legislation to the American people. Congress claims the current bill would cost more than $1 trillion over the next decade. But Congress’ cost estimate only includes the direct impact on government expenses, while totally ignoring the tremendous healthcare industry costs of implementation.
The current 2700 pages of legislation, if passed, will be ballooned by the various bureaucracies responsible for their implementation into many tens or hundreds of thousands of pages of regulations and requirements to further complicate and constipate the work of virtually everyone involved in healthcare. The industry costs to deal with this complexity will be enormous. If you run the math using reasonable assumptions, the true cost to American taxpayers will be several times what Congress claims.
If you have time, please read my discussion below on the specific flaws in Congress’ current healthcare proposals, and the following “Jones Plan,” a reality-based approach to healthcare reform. I think I can convince you that the current proposals are not only on the wrong track, but headed for a disastrous train wreck. But whatever else you do, if you value your healthcare and America ’s future, please contact your representatives in Washington now and tell them in no uncertain terms:
Dear [put YOUR CONGRESSPERSON’S NAME here],
1. Please forget “comprehensive healthcare reform” until you have a program to address the following concerns. We don’t want a “rush job” on something this important and expensive!
2. Please get costs under control BEFORE you commit my tax dollars to extend coverage!
3. Healthcare is so expensive primarily because of the interferences previously imposed by Medicare, Medicaid and insurers. Yet, amazingly, the current healthcare reform proposals are primarily just more of the same knee-jerk, short-sighted policies that got us into this sorry state.
4. The Congressional Budget Office cost estimates ignore the fact that 2700 pages of legislation will be ballooned by the various bureaucracies responsible for their implementation into tens or hundreds of thousands of pages of new rules and regulations to be imposed on all sectors of the healthcare industry - including patients. It is very expensive to implement complex new rules and regulations throughout an industry; it requires imposing many new responsibilities on existing personnel, extensive revision of policies and procedures, and hiring many additional personnel. Even if all these new regulations only increase the cost of healthcare by 5%, that will add another 1.1 trillion dollars of costs over the next 10 years. The true cost is likely to be much greater.
5. Current legislative proposals will surely further frustrate both patients and physicians, will make our healthcare system even less efficient and more expensive, and will damage our economy and international competitiveness.
If this legislation passes, within a few years everyone will realize it was a BIG mistake. Unfortunately, by then we will have endured more years of increasing costs and inefficiency, and ballooning federal deficits that we must all eventually pay for.
Please consider the Jones Plan for healthcare reform at www.jonesplan.blogspot.com. It’s about restoring fundamental American principles of freedom, accountability, efficiency, innovation, compassion and competition to our healthcare system.
Sincerely,
[put YOUR NAME here]
[put YOUR NAME here]
The list of Web sites below will let you contact your representatives and tell them how you feel on this issue. Also, please forward this to anyone and everyone you know who is concerned about the future of our health, our healthcare, and America ’s economy.
Sincerely,
Dan Jones, MD
Sincerely,
Dan Jones, MD
Email Addresses:
House of Representatives: http://houseofbills.com/email-entire-house-representatives-time/
Your Representative: https://writerep.house.gov/writerep/welcome.shtml
President Obama: http://www.whitehouse.gov/Contact/
Multiple officials: http://www.congress.org/congressorg/issues/alert/?alertid=13934791&type=ML
A Message For Your Representatives
Dear [put YOUR CONGRESSPERSON’S NAME here],
1. Please forget “comprehensive healthcare reform” until you have a program to address the following concerns. We don’t want a “rush job” on something this important and expensive!
2. Please get costs under control BEFORE you commit my tax dollars to extend coverage!
3. Healthcare is so expensive primarily because of the interferences previously imposed by Medicare, Medicaid and insurers. Yet, amazingly, the current healthcare reform proposals are primarily just more of the same knee-jerk, short-sighted policies that got us into this sorry state.
4. The Congressional Budget Office cost estimates ignore the fact that 2700 pages of legislation will be ballooned by the various bureaucracies responsible for their implementation into tens or hundreds of thousands of pages of new rules and regulations to be imposed on all sectors of the healthcare industry - including patients. It is very expensive to implement complex new rules and regulations throughout an industry; it requires imposing many new responsibilities on existing personnel, extensive revision of policies and procedures, and hiring many additional personnel. Even if all these new regulations only increase the cost of healthcare by 5%, that will add another 1.1 trillion dollars of costs over the next 10 years. The true cost is likely to be much greater.
5. Current legislative proposals will surely further frustrate both patients and physicians, will make our healthcare system even less efficient and more expensive, and will damage our economy and international competitiveness.
If this legislation passes, within a few years everyone will realize it was a BIG mistake. Unfortunately, by then we will have endured more years of increasing costs and inefficiency, and ballooning federal deficits that we must all eventually pay for.
Please consider the Jones Plan for healthcare reform at www.jonesplan.blogspot.com. It’s about restoring fundamental American principles of freedom, accountability, efficiency, innovation, compassion and competition to our healthcare system.
Sincerely,
[put YOUR NAME here]
[put YOUR NAME here]
The list of Web sites below will let you contact your representatives and tell them how you feel on this issue. Also, please forward this to anyone and everyone you know who is concerned about the future of our health, our healthcare, and America ’s economy.
Email Addresses:
Email Addresses:
House of Representatives: http://houseofbills.com/email-entire-house-representatives-time/
Your Representative: https://writerep.house.gov/writerep/welcome.shtml
President Obama: http://www.whitehouse.gov/Contact/
Multiple officials: http://www.congress.org/congressorg/issues/alert/?alertid=13934791&type=ML
2009 Healthcare Reform Legislation: Flaws and Fixes
2009-2010 Healthcare Reform Legislation: Flaws and Fixes
by Dan Jones, M.D. and Alicia Jones, Ph.D.
The U.S. House bill H. R. 3200 (‘‘America ’s Affordable Health Choices Act of 2009’’) [10] and its successor H.R. 3962 [12] aspire “To provide affordable, quality health care for all Americans and reduce the growth in health care spending.” But a careful reading of these bills shows they will certainly decrease healthcare quality and affordability, while further ratcheting up costs. As will be explained, the major measures in the bills currently being debated in Congress ignore fundamental economic principles, human behavioral factors, and the major structural problems of the healthcare and insurance industries.
In essence, current bills attempt to extend Medicare-style federal price controls and central bureaucratic management to virtually all aspects of healthcare and medical insurance. Why base a new program on an existing one that has spectacularly failed to improve quality or control costs? Medicare and Medicaid expenditures now account for 23% of the federal budget, and have consistently grown at 2.5 percentage points above GDP growth. From 2000 to 2005 alone, Medicare’s share of GDP grew 17 percent [4]!
Despite this rampant increase in expenditures, average inflation-adjusted physician incomes have steadily declined, in sharp contrast to the wage trends for other professionals [1, 2]. The rampant healthcare cost increases are not making doctors or hospitals rich! Federal mismanagement of healthcare has now created so much inefficiency, stress and misery for front-line physicians (I know; I am one) that, according to the American Academy of Family Physicians, "the number of US medical school students going into primary care has dropped 51.8 percent since 1997.”
This problem cannot possibly be solved by 2700 pages of band-aids and bailing wire “fixes” cobbled together by political committees under pressure to “deliver healthcare reform” in only a few months. Congress should abandon this rushed approach, and take a more measured, rational and incremental approach to healthcare reform.
Flaw #1: Current bills will perpetuate and expand today’s counterproductive medical price controls. The federal government (through Medicare and Medicaid) is now the largest single payer for medical goods and services. Which specific services and treatments are covered, and the prices paid, are set by federal bureaucracies. As any economist knows, price control is artificial, inefficient, incapable of adapting to free-market dynamics, and inevitably leads to all sorts of perverse and inefficient behaviors throughout the system. It didn’t work in Soviet Russia, it didn’t work in the U.S. economic crisis of the 70’s, and it will never work in American healthcare. It is this counterproductive economic behavior on the part of the federal government (and increasingly aped by private insurance companies), more than any other single factor, that has been driving the rapid rise in healthcare costs and rampant inefficiency throughout our healthcare system.
Fix: Get rid of price controls and allow healthcare providers to compete based on quality, reputation and price. The fact that many will consider this a radical idea only reveals how pathetically disconnected from both economic reality and American ideals our battered healthcare system has become. We will never have efficient or affordable healthcare unless we get rid of price controls and restore competition to the system.
Flaw #2: In response to the obvious variability in quality among hospitals, proposed legislation will implement schemes to vary reimbursement based on quality (actually, some bureaucratic estimate of quality). Any bureaucratically imposed monetary rewards and punishments will have questionable validity; and any resulting economic gains will certainly be more than offset by stakeholders “gaming the system,” thereby increasing inefficiencies even further.
Fix: As in any other industry, the people best qualified to judge the quality of a product or service are its consumers. And the most efficient way to give feedback to producers is for consumers to comparison-shop and “vote with their feet.” In this regard Congress should (1) promote publication of reasonable statistics on provider quality, (2) promote public education regarding healthcare quality indicators, and (3) leave patients free to “vote with their feet.” This would cost far less than the additional layers of bureaucracy envisioned in the current legislative proposals, and would actually improve quality and patient satisfaction.
Flaw #3: Current legislation proposes to fund expanded coverage partly by forcing employers to provide medical insurance. In an economy with ever-increasing worker mobility, fluctuating unemployment, and increasing outsourcing of jobs to cheaper labor markets abroad, burdening employers with the costs and hassles of providing health insurance makes no more sense than forcing them to provide homeowners insurance or piano lessons!
Fix: Insurance laws should be changed (1) so that insurance companies cannot charge individuals more than they charge large groups for similar policies; (2) so that individually purchased medical insurance is tax-favored (or not) the same as employer-provided insurance; and (3) so that insurance is portable across state lines.
Flaw #4: Current legislation mandates that all qualified insurance plans provide comprehensive and preventative healthcare coverage. Check any dictionary: the purpose of insurance is to pay “a guaranteed and known small loss to prevent a large, possibly devastating loss” [6]. Using insurance to pay for a flu vaccine, a school physical or to treat poison ivy is akin to using auto insurance to pay for a flat tire repair or an oil change. It simply encourages over-utilization of services, while greatly increasing costs of basic services by adding the costs of extra paperwork, money-shuffling and reimbursement disputes. Furthermore, by removing the consumers role as payer, it removes the consumer’s incentive to economize.
Fix: Congress should encourage high-deductible insurance policies with non-deductible coverage of proven preventive care, in combination with tax-exempt HSAs (Health Savings Accounts). That would decrease overall costs and discourage over-utilization of primary care services, while encouraging individual accountability and retirement planning.
Flaw #5: Current legislation fails to encourage personal responsibility for health outcomes, despite the fact that more than half of all chronic disease and disability in the U.S. is attributable to individual lifestyle factors (e.g., lack of exercise, over-eating, poor food choices, smoking, excessive alcohol consumption, reckless driving, etc.) [8, 9]. This issue also strikes at the heart of the fairness issue: Why should citizens who choose a healthy lifestyle be forced to subsidize the bad habits of those who don’t (as would be required by current proposals)?
Fix: To discourage unhealthy or risky behavior, public healthcare should be financed to the maximum extent feasible through targeted taxation of products and behaviors that contribute to disease and disability. And insurance companies should not be prevented from charging more to patients who choose unhealthy lifestyles.
Flaw #6: Carefully targeted new insurance regulations are needed to (1) prohibit specific egregious practices by the insurance industry and (2) increase insurance portability and continuity. But instead of mandating only needed reforms, and in defiance of all known principles of economics, current legislation essentially forces a socialistic business model on the private insurance industry, by prohibiting price variation based on anything other than age, geography and family size!
Fix: Congress should impose only the minimum insurance regulations needed to prevent egregious practices, to promote insurance policy portability and continuity, and to promote competition in the insurance industry.
Flaw #7: Every resource is limited, and when demand exceeds supply, as often happens in healthcare, rationing in some fashion will occur. The only question is, will we admit this fact, and ration healthcare intelligently? Or will we deny this fact, and let it continue to be rationed in obscure and arbitrary ways? The late Senator Kennedy asserted, no doubt with the best of intentions, “Every American should be able to get the same treatment that U.S. senators are entitled to” [7]. But in America , healthcare, like other essentials such as housing and transportation, comes in an infinite range of sizes, features and prices. We can no more afford to provide “the best” healthcare for everyone than we can afford to provide everyone the best house, car, or espresso machine.
Fix: Every American should have access to quality healthcare, and no one should have to drop out of college, sell their house or file bankruptcy to pay for it. To provide a medical “safety net” for all Americans, Congress should consolidate existing government health programs (CHIP, Medicare, Medicaid, Veterans Administration health services, etc.) into a simplified and federally managed “healthcare safety net” for those who need healthcare they cannot pay for. This safety net will not provide “the best” healthcare, anymore than public housing is the best, but it will ensure that everyone has access to essential medical care without bankrupting our nation, without discouraging individual initiative and responsibility, and without destroying our free-market healthcare economy.
Flaw #8: The high cost of dying may kill us all yet. Last-year-of-life expenses constitute approximately 25 percent of Medicare expenditures [5]. While H. R. 3200 pays vague lip service to this issue (by promoting “Advance Care Planning Consultation”), it actually promotes end-of-life over-spending by prohibiting “any annual or lifetime limit on coverage.” There is virtually no limit to how much can be spent extending the life of a dying person another few weeks or months. For that matter, in a creative and entrepreneurial culture such as ours, if this law passes, there will soon be no limit on how much can be spent in one year to treat a typical teenager’s acne!
Fix: Now that modern medicine has robbed us of our innate, God-given right to die with dignity from natural causes, we must develop legal and socially accepted ways to die with dignity when our bodies are so decrepit and our brains so demented that meaningful life is no longer possible. In the meantime, Congress should not compound this problem, and virtually guarantee rampant increased healthcare costs in the near future, by prohibiting “any annual or lifetime limit on coverage.”
Flaw #9: The Congressional Budget Office estimates current proposals will cost roughly 1 trillion dollars over 10 years, but, amazingly, their estimates totally ignore what is by far the greatest net cost to the American people: the cost of implementation! [13]. Their estimates totally ignore this simple fact: the 2700 pages of current legislation would be ballooned by the various bureaucracies responsible for their implementation into hundreds of thousands of pages of new rules and regulations to be imposed on all sectors of the healthcare industry. It is very expensive to implement complex new rules and regulations throughout an industry. That requires imposing many new responsibilities on existing personnel, hiring many additional personnel, and a very long and expensive adjustment process that ends with substantially increased ongoing costs to accommodate the additional regulations. Even if all these new regulations only increase the cost of healthcare by 5%, that will add another 1.1 trillion dollars of costs over the next 10 years, more than doubling Congress cost estimates. The true cost is likely to be much greater.
Fix: By this point it should be obvious: there is no real fix for Congress current approach to healthcare reform. It is a failed effort, and should be abandoned.
In summary, a careful reading of current legislation in the light of fundamental principles of economics and human behavior shows it is unlikely to accomplish its stated goals. On the contrary, is virtually certain to further ratchet up healthcare costs, with significant negative impacts on quality, accessibility and innovation. So where does that leave us?
The BIG FIX: see The Jones Plan: A Reality-Based Approach to Healthcare Reform
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